For him the likely victor was the competitor who best adapted to change while keeping his opponent off-balance. That meant swiftly observing how conditions have changed, orienting to change, deciding how to adapt, and acting on that decision.
One problem I have with this quote’s description of the victor’s OODA loop is that you don’t orient to change; “...observing how conditions have changed, orienting to change, deciding how to adapt, and acting on that decision.”
The victor orients towards an advantage in the environment observed.
When the environment changes and you lose or gain an advantage, your orientation destructs and then constructs a new structure that takes advantage of that new environment. Boyd was a genius, because he could destruct and construct a new orientation faster than anyone; they need to re define genius.
The victor’s decision then is not on how to adapt, because both Orientations has changed and to the victor will go the spoils of that adaptation. But the victor does need to decide on Acting according to the victor’s new advantage, or disadvantage. The victor does not always have the advantage in the environment, as Boyd later learned, but, to win, the victor needs to make it his advantage.
The Orientation of both the victor and loser has to change, because of the feed-ahead they are getting from the past environment, of relationships and connections, mixed with the feed-back they are getting from the future environment, of judgments and potentials, creates a new leaver that either the loser or victor can take advantage of. That leaver is reliant on the momentum at the full-come-point at the moment of inertia.
I mean, one may have more advantage, in any particular environment than another, but each “others” has momentum that can be used to change the direction of both. Grabbing the momentum first can even change the direction of the one with the most advantage. And, as the one who can take advantage of the momentum first is able to possibly change the directions of both, the one who is able to make Decisions, to Act on the momentum, faster, has a chance of winning.
As most of the time in a OODA loop is spent between Orientation and Decision (building an Orientation and Deciding how to use it) the person who is able to make those decisions (or any decision) quicker has a great advantage, as The Act has already been judged by the orientation an advantage before the Decision to use it is given (OOAD).
Most of the time it is a great enough advantage that it can even make the loser the victor, and to the victor an IQ of 90.