“What we have done in Afghanistan has made zero difference….our orientation was wrong…”
If our orientation was wrong then, because orientation has been called the most important letter in the OODA loop, it probably means we got everything else wrong in the loop as well.
But it also should be noted that the fact that our orientation was wrong was not caused by ignorance of Boyd–we got it wrong because our leaders found out they were not Boyd.
The one principle the followers of Boyd try to take advantage of, besides deception, is to accomplish two tasks to your enemy’s one.
So it is likely that our war in the Middle East was always supposed to have been the one-two punch of Afghanistan and Iraq together.
When discussing Orientation and getting the Orientation wrong, in the context of Boyd, Orientation begins in the workspace and the workspace was not Afghanistan.
The area of orientation was Afghanistan/Iraq and the judgment of getting it right or wrong needs to be taken from a position observing both.
So it is likely we didn’t just get the position in our orientation wrong, but hell yes we got it wrong!
But we are now pivoting towards the Indo-pacific and our position as well as our orientation is changing.
Like our war with Russia, the position we took in our orientation with Afghanistan and Iraq is an old position. If this position is right or wrong should be judged by history. It is just too hard for the person going through something like this to keep a clear head.
In the context of Boyd, the position of this next pivot point is highly critical. As I imagine Boyd would have said explicitly, the point that we are pivoting on will represent our orientation into the future.
So, as we pivot in a different direction towards Afghanistan and Iraq, where in the world can you mark an x on a map that represents our values? It is our values that we will use as a pivot.
It will be interesting to learn from the zenpundit if there was any talk about our orientation going forward at #BoydandBeyond?